Belief Global Peace 2026 Index
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This index measures market-implied expectations of reduced military escalation across major geopolitical hotspots through the end of 2026. It aggregates prices from a diversified set of global conflict-related outcome markets that resolve favorably toward non-escalation, ceasefire, or stabilization scenarios spanning Eastern Europe, the Middle East, East Asia, and the Americas. By synthesizing outcomes across regions, the index represents the market’s aggregate assessment of geopolitical stabilization rather than the likelihood of any individual peace event. Movements in the index reflect changes in perceived global stability as diplomatic initiatives, conflict containment, and geopolitical developments unfold.
Performance data as of Mar 15, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Contribution = weight × midpoint price. Total contribution equals Raw NAV.
Important Information
This index is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Belief Systems does not operate an exchange or facilitate wagering. Index values are derived from prediction market prices, which reflect market participants' expectations rather than certainties, and are theoretical and non-executable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.