This index measures market-implied expectations of acceleration in the development and commercialization of artificial intelligence. It aggregates prices from a set of prediction market contracts spanning frontier-model releases, leading AI-laboratory valuations and public-listing milestones, and AI infrastructure and tooling outcomes. Movements in the index reflect changes in market-implied probabilities of pro-acceleration realizations across these pathways, rather than forecasts for any single company or product. As a perpetual index, new markets are added through periodic reconstitution as constituents resolve, keeping it aligned with the evolving frontier of AI development.
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This index measures market-implied expectations of acceleration in the development and commercialization of artificial intelligence. It aggregates prices from a set of prediction market contracts spanning frontier-model releases, leading AI-laboratory valuations and public-listing milestones, and AI infrastructure and tooling outcomes. Movements in the index reflect changes in market-implied probabilities of pro-acceleration realizations across these pathways, rather than forecasts for any single company or product. As a perpetual index, new markets are added through periodic reconstitution as constituents resolve, keeping it aligned with the evolving frontier of AI development.
Performance data as of Jun 13, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Contribution = weight × midpoint price. Total contribution equals Raw NAV.
This index is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Belief Systems does not operate an exchange or facilitate wagering. Index values are derived from prediction market prices, which reflect market participants' expectations rather than certainties, and are theoretical and non-executable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.