Belief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations Index
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The Belief Global Digital Asset Depreciation Expectations Index launched today at par (100.0), aggregating downside expectations across 15 contracts covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP through end-2026.
This index measures market-implied expectations of digital asset price underperformance across the major cryptocurrency complex. It aggregates prices from the same diversified set of prediction market contracts as the corresponding appreciation index, with each constituent voting the inverse side to capture downside expectations for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Movements in the index reflect changes in market-implied probabilities of downside realizations across the underlying assets, not directional price forecasts.
Performance data as of Apr 25, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Contribution = weight × midpoint price. Total contribution equals Raw NAV.
Important Information
This index is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Belief Systems does not operate an exchange or facilitate wagering. Index values are derived from prediction market prices, which reflect market participants' expectations rather than certainties, and are theoretical and non-executable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.