Index Level
All-Time Return
24H
7D
30D
Range
This index measures market-implied expectations of U.S.-driven intervention in Latin America. It aggregates prices from a focused set of prediction market contracts covering Venezuelan leadership transition, U.S. military action against Cuba, Mexico, and Venezuela, and broader hemispheric regime change pathways. By combining multiple intervention scenarios into a single index, it reflects the overall market-implied probability of U.S.-led pressure producing material political or territorial change in the region rather than the likelihood of any single event. Movements in the index capture shifts in market expectations as U.S. foreign policy posture, Venezuelan domestic conditions, and regional diplomatic developments evolve.
Publication ceased
USLATINT26 stopped publishing on September 6, 2026. The underlying markets had become too thin to support citation-grade index levels.
The final level stands as published and is never restated. Full history remains downloadable below through at least September 2031. Cessation notice →
Final index level
38.57
published Loading.... This value stands as published.
Theoretical index level – midpoint-based, before fees, spreads, and slippage. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This index measures market-implied expectations of U.S.-driven intervention in Latin America. It aggregates prices from a focused set of prediction market contracts covering Venezuelan leadership transition, U.S. military action against Cuba, Mexico, and Venezuela, and broader hemispheric regime change pathways. By combining multiple intervention scenarios into a single index, it reflects the overall market-implied probability of U.S.-led pressure producing material political or territorial change in the region rather than the likelihood of any single event. Movements in the index capture shifts in market expectations as U.S. foreign policy posture, Venezuelan domestic conditions, and regional diplomatic developments evolve.
Final performance data, as of Sep 6, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Contribution = weight × price: the midpoint, or the settlement value once a market resolves. Total contribution equals the raw index value.
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $BELIEF_API_KEY" \
https://api.beliefsystems.xyz/v1/indices/USLATINT26/latestSwap /latest for /history to read the trailing 90 days at 1h or 1d. Free keys run 60 requests a minute and 2,000 a day.
This index is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Belief Systems does not operate an exchange or facilitate wagering. Index values are derived from prediction market prices, which reflect market participants' expectations rather than certainties, and are theoretical and non-executable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.